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The Ultimate Fighting Championship returns home to American soil for UFC in Vegas 20. The UFC odds are now available for us to delve into some parlay betting picks for UFC Fight Night – headlined by Jairzinho Rozenstruik and Ciryl Gane, live on ESPN.

Angela Hill vs. Ashley Yoder

Saturday, February 27, 2021 – 9:00 PM ET at UFC Apex Centre

UFC Women’s Strawweight Bout

The Fight

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Two of the UFC's strawweight veterans will meet for a second time this weekend, and we are anticipating this one to reach the judge's scorecards for a second time.

12th ranked Angela Hill has been taking fights like the average person eats daily dinners; she will fight anyone, anytime and anywhere! A background in Muay Thai puts Hill in a position where she favors: to remain on the feet. She is consistently evolving her skills, fight to fight.

Ashley Yoder has found her success through the Jiu-Jitsu offense she possesses; as a Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu black belt, she prefers her fights to reach the ground.

UFC Parlay Pick

Angela Hill's Muay Thai background has assisted with her ability to defend the takedown. Although she could give up a takedown or two, we believe she will keep this fight standing for the majority of the fifteen-minute time limit and take the win by decision.

With that said, both girls are incredibly durable, and the women's strawweight division is renowned for providing fights that end via decision.

The available UFC odds with Sportsbook Review favor Hill, but public betting has juiced her original line too far. For that reason, we will back this fight to end by decision.

UFC parlay prediction: Fight Goes the Distance (-350) with BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

Jimmie Rivera vs. Pedro Munhoz

Saturday, February 27, 2021 - 9:00 PM ET at UFC Apex Centre

UFC Bantamweight Bout

The Fight

Another pair of UFC competitors who are all too familiar with each other, Munhoz and Rivera, will meet for a second time during their professional careers this weekend.

Pedro Munhoz has an elite Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu offense, but he has found comfortability by evolving his striking offense in recent years. A punch knockout over Cody Garbrandt still echoes the Apex Centre to this day, and any opposition shouldn't neglect his ability to knock you out cold.

Since their first encounter, Jimmie Rivera seems to be the one who has evolved his skillset more. Mixing up his fluent striking with takedowns has allowed him to claim victories over the division's upper echelon, and his losses have come up against the divisions' elite.

UFC Fight Prediction

I anticipate a repeat performance but with even more significant strikes favoring Rivera this time around.

Rivera's speed should give him the edge in striking and the ability to defend the power strikes of Munhoz. Munhoz could not take Rivera to the ground five years ago, and Rivera will hold the stand-up striking advantage.

UFC parlay prediction: Jimmie Rivera (-150) with BetOnline

The UFC in Vegas 20 Punching Parlay

Do not forget to use our odds calculator to determine your bets' return: 1u stake returns 1.13u profit.

UFC IN VEGAS 20 MAIN CARD

*The picks reflect the lines now the writer made the play, the odds at the beginning of this article show the live line movement. Since the lines might vary, do not forget to refer to our live odds.

Implied Probability Calculator

Use this tool to convert betting odds into their probabilities

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We need to be sure that the risk is worth the reward whenever we place a bet. Calculating the Implied Probability of a bet enables us to do this more effectively. Implied Probability is simply the process of converting betting odds into probabilities.

When a Bookie sets the odds on a bet, he must first determine what chance he gives that bet of winning. This process is called “capping.” The Bookie must work out the probability that he believes a bet will win. He then sets the odds based on this probability.

It is beneficial for us to calculate what probability a Bookie believes a bet will win so that we can determine whether there is value in a bet. Calculating the Implied Probability of the odds enables us to do this.

Whenever you are thinking of placing a bet, you should always ask yourself what chance you give that bet of winning. Do you give it a 10% chance? Maybe a 50% chance? You can then compare the probability you give the bet of winning against the probability that the Bookies think it will win by calculating the Implied Probability of the odds. This will enable you to see whether there is value in the bet or not. Using this kind of system will allow you to determine whether the risk is worth the reward.

3 Odds

Calculating the Implied Probability of betting odds is easy. Simply enter the odds into the Implied Probability Calculator on this page and then hit the “Convert” button. The Implied Probability of the odds will then be displayed in the “Probability” box.

Next, you’ll need to determine whether there is value in the bet you are thinking of placing. To do this, simply compare the Implied Probability with the chances you give that bet of winning. For example:

If you give Conor McGregor a 50% chance of beating George St-Pierre, but the Implied Probability in the odds is 30%, then your bet has value. This is because you believe that Conor has a higher probability of winning than the Bookies. Therefore the payout in the odds is more than it should be, so the risk is worth the reward.

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If however, you believe Conor has a 50% chance of winning and the Implied Probability in the odds was 60%, then there would be no point in placing the bet because the payout in the odds would not be good enough to cover the risk implied in placing the bet.

The goal of making money in betting is to try and find bets where there is value. You should always convert odds into their Implied Probabilities so that you can determine whether or not you feel the payout from a bet is worth it. You need to find bets where you have a margin over the Bookies odds.